Result
1:0
26/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Ardon C. 🟨,
- 45', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ruiz J. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 58', Canales M. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
- 58', Altamirano C. ↓, Cerrato M. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Fajardo A. ⚽,
- 70', Martinez J. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
- 70', Ponce J. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 72', Casildo L. 🟨,
- 77', Galindo F. 🟨,
- 81', Lopez B. ↓, Almendares K. ↑,
- 82', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. ↓, Castellanos H. ↑,
- 83', Villafranca J. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 86', 🟥,
- 86', 🟨,
- 87', Ardon C. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juticalpa
37.6% | Draw
26.8% | Lobos UPNFM
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.56) |
3.38 ↓
(3.38) |
2.56 ↑
(2.42) |
10.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Juticalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Lobos UPNFM?
Juticalpa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Juticalpa?
Lobos UPNFM has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
08.03.2026
Lobos UPNFM
-
Juticalpa
3:2
22.11.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Juticalpa
1:0
31.08.2025
Juticalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:2
29.03.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Juticalpa
1:0
29.01.2025
Juticalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:0
Latest results of Juticalpa
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia ✔ | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
