México vs Alcalá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Portero A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 80', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Izan ,

Chances of winning


México
15.7%
Draw
30%
Alcalá
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14% 21.8% 64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7% 21.3% 65.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • México - Alcalá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.81
    (6.48)
    3.04
    (4.18)
    1.68
    (1.42)
    9.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between México - Alcalá were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Alcalá - México 1:0
    Latest results of México
    25.01.2025 Rayo Vallecano B - México 4:1
    18.01.2025 México - Leganés B 1:2
    11.01.2025 México - Tres Cantos 0:2
    22.12.2024 Carabanchel - México 0:0
    15.12.2024 México - El Álamo 2:1
    Latest results of Alcalá
    26.01.2025 Alcalá - Parla 3:0
    12.01.2025 Las Rozas - Alcalá 0:0
    21.12.2024 Alcalá - Canillas 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

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