Result
1:2 penalties
03/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Europe | Go3 Sport Open Baltic |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | ERT Sports 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (485/579) | 77% (346/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (485/579) | 77% (346/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (26/70) | 33% (22/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (134/183) | 55% (30/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 46% (13/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Davidsen K. 🟨,
- 12', Remberg N. 🟨,
- 12', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Zec D. 🟨,
- 60', Davidsen K. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
- 64', Remberg N. ↓, Meffert J. ↑,
- 64', Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
- 69', Ivezic M. 🟨,
- 78', Komenda M. ↓, Nekic I. ↑,
- 78', Therkelsen J. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
- 82', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
- 85', Torunarigha J. 🟨,
- 87', Nekic I. 🟨,
- 90', Tolkin J. 🟨,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 94', Kapralik A. ↓, Koster L. ↑,
- 98', Torunarigha J. ↓, Soumahoro A. ↑,
- 99', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,
- 100', Meffert J. 🟨,
- 103', Rosenboom L. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
- 107', 1 - 0, Jatta B. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
- 118', 1 - 1, Harres P. ⚽,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Zec D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Philippe R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Ivezic M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Vieira F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Schwab S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Muheim M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Nekic I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Soumahoro A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Harres P. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
54.7% | Draw
23.8% | Holstein Kiel
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.73) |
4.01 ↓
(4.15) |
4.44 ↑
(4.25) |
5%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Hamburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hamburg is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D.
(Groin Injury)
Glatzel R.
(Injury)
Omari W.
(Knee Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Johansson C.
(Inactive)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
Skrzybski S.
(Heel Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Holstein Kiel?
Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Hamburger SV?
Holstein Kiel has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
20.04.2024
Hamburger SV
-
Holstein Kiel
0:1
11.11.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Hamburger SV
4:2
18.03.2023
Hamburger SV
-
Holstein Kiel
0:0
09.09.2022
Holstein Kiel
-
Hamburger SV
2:3
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Engers | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 : 5 |
| 2 | RW Essen | Dortmund | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Viktoria Koln | Paderborn | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Grossaspach | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Delmenhorst | B. Monchengladbach | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Meuselwitz | Karlsruher SC | 0 : 5 |
| 7 | Norderstedt | St. Pauli | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Hansa Rostock | Hoffenheim | 0 : 4 |
| 9 | FC Gutersloh | Union Berlin | 0 : 5 |
| 10 | Arminia Bielefeld | Werder Bremen | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Regensburg | FC Koln | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Wehen | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Cottbus | Hannover | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Sandhausen | RB Leipzig | 2 : 4 |
| 15 | Illertissen | Nurnberg | 4 : 3 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | Magdeburg | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Bahlinger | Heidenheim | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Pirmasens | Hamburger SV | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Hemelingen | Wolfsburg | 0 : 9 |
| 20 | FC 08 Homburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Hallescher | Augsburg | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | BFC Dynamo | Bochum | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | SG Dynamo Dresden | Mainz | 0 : 1 |
| 24 | Braunschweig | Stuttgart | 4 : 5 |
| 25 | Preussen Munster | Hertha Berlin | 0 : 1 |
| 26 | Ulm | Elversberg | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Lohne | Greuther Furth | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | RSV Eintracht | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 7 |
| 29 | Schweinfurt | Dusseldorf | 2 : 4 |
| 30 | Lotte | Freiburg | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Lubeck | Darmstadt | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Lokomotive Leipzig | Schalke | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Dortmund | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Paderborn | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | B. Monchengladbach | Karlsruher SC | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | St. Pauli | Hoffenheim | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | FC Koln | Bayern Munich | 1 : 4 |
| 7 | Cottbus | RB Leipzig | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Illertissen | Magdeburg | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | Hamburger SV | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wolfsburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Augsburg | Bochum | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Mainz | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Hertha Berlin | Elversberg | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Dusseldorf | Freiburg | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | Darmstadt | Schalke | 4 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Dortmund | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | B. Monchengladbach | St. Pauli | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | Magdeburg | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | Holstein Kiel | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bochum | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | Kaiserslautern | 6 : 1 |
| 8 | Freiburg | Darmstadt | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | St. Pauli | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Holstein Kiel | Stuttgart | 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Hertha Berlin | Freiburg | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bayern Munich | |
| 2 | Stuttgart | Freiburg | |
Final
