Lorient vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
05/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
50
Shots on target
50
Corner Kicks
01
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
50
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
00
Shots inside the Box
50
Corner Kicks
01
Touches in opposition box
50
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
812
Fouls
139
Goalkeeper Saves
00
Goals prevented
0.00-5.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Kroupi E. J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ,
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 62', Bamba M. , Tosin A. ,
  • 72', Kroupi E. J. , Fadiga B. ,
  • 72', Mvuka Mugisha J. , Ponceau J. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Laporte J. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Ponceau J. ,
  • 90+1', (Pen),
  • 90+5', 5 - 0, Tosin A. ,

Chances of winning


Lorient
73.4%
Draw
16.9%
Pau
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 20.8% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7% 20.2% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorient's performance.
  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorient that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lorient - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.47)
    5.54
    (4.5)
    9.61
    (6.1)
    6.1%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Lorient - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH -2 - Lorient (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Lorient (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 10).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lorient is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Makengo J. (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Pau: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury) Bobichon A. (Ankle Injury) Lopy J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lorient: Katseris P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Pau: Meddah D. (Inactive)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lorient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Pau were as follows:
    24.09.2024 Pau - Lorient 1:0
    Latest results of Lorient
    29.03.2025 Grenoble - Lorient 1:2
    15.03.2025 Lorient - Bastia 4:0
    08.03.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 3:2
    01.03.2025 Lorient - Rodez 3:1
    22.02.2025 Lorient - Laval 0:1
    Latest results of Pau
    28.03.2025 Pau - Annecy 1:0
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    28.02.2025 Pau - Grenoble 1:0
    22.02.2025 Caen - Pau 2:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes24136538:251345
    2St Etienne24134741:291243
    3Reims24118537:231441
    4Le Mans241010430:24640
    5Red Star24117630:25540
    6Dunkerque24108640:251538
    7Annecy24106832:25736
    8Rodez2499631:31036
    9Montpellier241041028:25334
    10Guingamp2497835:36-134
    11Pau FC2497837:39-234
    12Grenoble24610824:29-528
    13Nancy24751221:32-1126
    14Boulogne24751225:36-1126
    15Clermont24671127:32-525
    16Amiens24651328:39-1123
    17Bastia24391212:25-1318
    18Laval24391218:34-1618

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National