Result
2:2
23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (460/519) | 82% (300/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (460/519) | 82% (300/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (125/150) | 65% (53/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Sadik O. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Pouilly T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Zahui N. ↓, Lallias A. ↑,
- 58', Paquiez G. 🟨,
- 59', Mambo S. ↓, Bernadou L. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Beusnard S. ⚽, Sadik O. (A),
- 68', Dong K. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
- 68', Bobichon A. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 71', Elphege N. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
- 71', Mouazan B. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Maurin E. ⚽, Paquiez G. (A),
- 84', Versini G. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 87', Mion M. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
- 89', Vidal C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Glossoa N. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Bernadou L. ⚽, Paquiez G. (A),
Chances of winning
Pau
54.2% | Draw
25.8% | Grenoble
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pau's performance.Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Pau - Grenoble Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.92) |
3.63 ↑
(3.49) |
4.7 ↑
(3.82) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Grenoble?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Grenoble will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Pau (1.93) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Grenoble (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 7 - 70%). Grenoble (votes: 3 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Recently, Grenoble has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Pau is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Pau: Briancon A.
(Inactive)
Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Meddah D.
(Inactive)
Salles E.
(Inactive)
Sissoko O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Grenoble: Benet J.
(Inactive)
Bernadou L.
(Injury)
Diba S.
(Red Card)
Djitte M.
(Inactive)
Elphege N.
(Inactive)
Paquiez G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Grenoble?
Pau has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grenoble won against Pau?
Grenoble has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Grenoble were as follows:
17.10.2025
Grenoble
-
Pau
1:1
28.02.2025
Pau
-
Grenoble
1:0
30.08.2024
Grenoble
-
Pau
1:1
24.02.2024
Grenoble
-
Pau
0:1
28.10.2023
Pau
-
Grenoble
3:2
Latest results of Grenoble
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
