North Carolina vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Surgan J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.38
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
89% (368/412)89% (318/359)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.00
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1412
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1220
Passes
89% (368/412)89% (318/359)
Long passes
45% (9/20)59% (33/56)
Passes in final third
68% (58/85)71% (46/65)
Crosses
32% (6/19)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.06
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
2012
Tackles
80% (8/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.000.49
Goals prevented
0.00-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Ackwei W. 🟥,
  • 15', Waite J. 🟨,
  • 17', Sorto C. , Alfaro T. ,
  • 22', Avila R. 🟨,
  • 25', Burner P. 🟨,
  • 27', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sommersall R. 🟨,
  • 45+8', 1 - 0, Conway E. , Pedro Becker (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Roberts T. 🟨,
  • 59', Pedro Becker 🟨,
  • 63', Sommersall R. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 63', Roberts T. , Da Costa R. ,
  • 74', Avila R. , Cabrera A. ,
  • 74', Moreno A. , Coronado R. ,
  • 81', Perez L. 🟨,
  • 86', Calvillo E. , Rodriguez E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Carolina
40.8%
Draw
27.9%
El Paso Locomotive
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for El Paso Locomotive aligns with the current prediction.
  • North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.25)
    3.32
    (3.4)
    2.96
    (2.91)
    8.1%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    28.09.2024 El Paso Locomotive - North Carolina 1:0
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)