Lille vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Lille - Real Madrid
Result
1:0
02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanAsr TV, Meraj Sport
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceC+ France, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
japanJapanWowow Live
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 5, Virgin Media More
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.96
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
13
Free Kicks
1516
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
20
Goalkeeper Saves
62
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
477669
Completed Passes
402591
Clearances Completed
910
Crosses Completed
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, David J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
  • 46', Endrick 🟨,
  • 57', Endrick ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 57', Militao E. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
  • 59', Camavinga E. 🟨,
  • 67', Camavinga E. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
  • 72', Cabella R. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
  • 78', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 79', Rudiger A. 🟨,
  • 81', Modric L. 🟨,
  • 88', Bakker M. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
  • 90+3', David J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Diakite B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lille
18.5%		Draw
23.1%		Real Madrid
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 21.9% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 22.1% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
    •

    Lille - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.24 ↓
    (5.85)    		 4.19 ↓
    (4.36)    		 1.65 ↑
    (1.55)    		 3.5%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UniMás
    •
    What is the prediction for Lille - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 143 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 5 - 3.5%). Real will win (votes: 134 - 93.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 2.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 89.7% – 97.7%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Lille is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Gomes A. (Red Card) Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Mukau N. (Ankle Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Ankle Injury) Courtois T. (Muscle Injury) Diaz B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Mbappe K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lille
    28.09.2024 Le Havre - Lille 0:3 ✺
    21.09.2024 Lille - Strasbourg 3:3 ✺
    17.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Lille 2:0 ✺
    13.09.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lille 1:0 ✺
    01.09.2024 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    29.09.2024 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    24.09.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 3:2 ✺
    21.09.2024 Real Madrid - Espanyol 4:1 ✺
    17.09.2024 Real Madrid - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺
    14.09.2024 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

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