Stoke City vs Portsmouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent).

Championship - Round 45
Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.27
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
8	1
Passes
70% (227/322)	78% (281/359)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.53	2.16
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
12	6
Shots outside the box
1	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
24	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
13	9
Passes
70% (227/322)	78% (281/359)
Long passes
30% (21/69)	16% (8/49)
Passes in final third
56% (52/93)	64% (53/83)
Crosses
31% (8/26)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.49
Throw ins
30	21
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
69% (9/13)	93% (13/14)
Duels won
50	48
Clearances
14	51
Interceptions
11	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
2.16	1.53
Goals prevented
-0.84	0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Bursik J. ↓, Killip B. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Segecic A. ⚽, Blair H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gallagher S. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
46', Bocat E. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Cisse L. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
61', Matthews H. 🟨,
61', Matthews H. ↓, Bowat I. ↑,
62', Blair H. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
63', Agina S. ↓, Tchamadeu J. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Segecic A. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
71', Pearson B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
78', Swift J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
79', Bishop C. ↓, Waddingham T. ↑,
79', Otegbayo R. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Segecic A. ⚽,
82', Segecic A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stoke City
41.4%

Draw
27.7%

Portsmouth
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Stoke City - Portsmouth Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.41)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)	4.7% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Stoke City - Portsmouth?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 19.5% – 68.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 17 and 20).
Stoke is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Portsmouth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Portsmouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A. (Hamstring Injury) Gibson B. (Injury) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Lawal B. (Injury) Rigo T. (Injury) Talovierov M. (Ankle Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Hamstring Injury) Wilmot B. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A. (Muscle Injury) Anderson K. (Injury) Caballero G. (Inactive) Devlin T. (Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Swanson Z. (Inactive) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Cresswell A. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Portsmouth?

Stoke City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Stoke City?

Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Portsmouth were as follows:

25.10.2025 Portsmouth - Stoke City 0:1

22.01.2025 Portsmouth - Stoke City 3:1

02.10.2024 Stoke City - Portsmouth 6:1

Latest results of Stoke City

21.04.2026 Stoke City - Millwall 1:3 ✺

18.04.2026 Wrexham - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

11.04.2026 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 1:1 ✺

06.04.2026 Derby County - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

03.04.2026 Stoke City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Portsmouth

21.04.2026 Coventry City - Portsmouth 5:1 ✺

18.04.2026 Portsmouth - Leicester City 1:0 ✺

14.04.2026 Portsmouth - Ipswich Town 2:0 ✺

11.04.2026 Middlesbrough - Portsmouth 0:1 ✺

06.04.2026 Portsmouth - Oxford United 2:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80
6	Hull	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One