Result
1:1
02/03/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 39 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (529/624) | 66% (176/266) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (175/232) | 55% (41/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 33% (4/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 56% (10/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Breij M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Vancsa Z. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Pierie K. ⚽, Duijvestijn L. (A),
- 60', Veendorp K. ↓, Beerten L. ↑,
- 67', Omorowa R. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 67', Koglin B. 🟨,
- 73', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
- 78', Kother T. 🟨,
- 83', Breij M. ↓, Schwirten J. ↑,
- 90', Duijvestijn L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
54.8% | Draw
23.4% | Roda
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Excelsior - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.63) |
3.99 ↓
(4.22) |
4.28 ↓
(4.76) |
7.3%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Roda?
Users Predictions:
Excelsior will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Roda: Jansen K.
(Knee Injury)
Schmidt L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Roda: Bucker K.
(Knee Injury)
Kother T.
(Injury)
Treichel J.
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:28 (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Roda?
Excelsior has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Excelsior?
Roda has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Roda were as follows:
04.10.2024
Roda
-
Excelsior
3:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
