Benfica vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Benfica
83.5%
Draw
11%
Nacional
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.9% 11.8% 5.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Benfica - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.14)
    8.71
    (8)
    17.29
    (18)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 4.
    • Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nacional is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 18 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 57:12. (average 2.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:3. (average 3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Nacional were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Nacional - Benfica 1:2
    08.03.2025 Benfica - Nacional 3:0
    19.12.2024 Nacional - Benfica 0:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    06.04.2026 Casa Pia - Benfica 1:1
    14.03.2026 Arouca - Benfica 1:2
    08.03.2026 Benfica - Porto 2:2
    02.03.2026 Gil Vicente - Benfica 1:2
    Latest results of Nacional
    21.03.2026 Famalicão - Nacional 1:0
    15.03.2026 Nacional - Estoril Praia 0:1
    07.03.2026 Moreirense - Nacional 1:1
    28.02.2026 Nacional - Braga 1:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto28234156:134373
    2Sporting CP27215172:175568
    3Benfica28199059:184166
    4Braga27147654:272749
    5Famalicao28137835:241146
    6Gil Vicente28129742:281445
    7Estoril281071150:47337
    8Vitoria Guimaraes281051334:42-835
    9Moreirense281051331:40-935
    10Alverca28881229:46-1732
    11Arouca28951437:57-2032
    12Rio Ave28791229:48-1930
    13Santa Clara28771426:35-928
    14Estrela286101233:47-1428
    15Nacional28671531:39-825
    16Casa Pia275101227:49-2225
    17Tondela27481519:44-2520
    18AFS28181918:61-4311

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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2