Result
12/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Benfica 83.5% | Draw 11% | Nacional 5.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Benfica - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.14 (1.14) |
8.71 ↑ (8) |
17.29 ↓ (18) |
5.4% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Benfica - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 4.
- Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 18 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 57:12. (average 2.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:3. (average 3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Nacional?
Benfica has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Benfica?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Nacional were as follows:
29.11.2025
Nacional
-
Benfica
1:2
08.03.2025
Benfica
-
Nacional
3:0
19.12.2024
Nacional
-
Benfica
0:2
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 56:13 | 43 | 73 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 72:17 | 55 | 68 |
| 3 | Benfica | 28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 59:18 | 41 | 66 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 35:24 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Alverca | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:46 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 | Arouca | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 30 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:35 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:47 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 27:49 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 18:61 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2