Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 5
- Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Kircough G. 🟨,
- 29', Nash B. 🟨,
- 29', Borge B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Edwards N. 🟨,
- 55', Hughes R. 🟨,
- 69', Ismail Z. ↓, Woodcock M. ↑,
- 77', Daley N. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
- 79', Baker A. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 1, Hughes R. ⚽,
- 81', Poole D. 🟨,
- 83', Woodcock M. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
- 83', Borge B. ↓, Clay J. ↑,
- 84', Green C. 🟨,
- 85', Clay J. 🟨,
- 87', Franklin H. ↓, Oswell J. ↑,
- 90+3', Daley N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Sharif A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pen-y-Bont
47.5% | Draw
26.9% | Gap Connahs Quay
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pen-y-Bont's form might have worsened.Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+15.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.5) |
3.43 ↓
(4.43) |
3.6 ↓
(4.97) |
8.5%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 2.
- Pen-y-Bont is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Connahs Quay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of away games.
- Pen-y-Bont is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Pen-y-Bont has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Pen-y-Bont?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
04.01.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Gap Connahs Quay
1:0
15.09.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Pen-y-Bont
0:1
13.01.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Gap Connahs Quay
0:1
30.09.2023
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Pen-y-Bont
4:2
15.04.2023
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Pen-y-Bont
0:0
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 43:10 | 33 | 35 |
| 2 | Penybont | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 32:21 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23:24 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Barry | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Bala | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 9 | Flint | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 24:29 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7:41 | -34 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
