Málaga vs Deportivo La Coruña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
12/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.90
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
83% (325/391)88% (445/508)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.711.05
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
83% (325/391)88% (445/508)
Long passes
56% (28/50)58% (26/45)
Passes in final third
73% (64/88)74% (77/104)
Crosses
17% (1/6)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.650.78
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1511
Tackles
69% (11/16)68% (15/22)
Duels won
4551
Clearances
246
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.052.71
Goals prevented
0.05-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Chupe , Munoz J. (A),
  • 18', Loureiro M. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Chupe , Rodriguez R. (A),
  • 45', Chupe 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Villares D. , Stoichkov ,
  • 49', 3 - 0, Rodriguez R. , Chupe (A),
  • 56', Escudero S. , Lopez R. ,
  • 60', Munoz J. , Lobete J. ,
  • 60', Rodriguez R. , Brasanac D. ,
  • 67', Gragera J. , Patino C. ,
  • 67', Cruz Luismi , Mulattieri S. ,
  • 68', Barcia D. 🟨,
  • 71', Juanpe , Dotor C. ,
  • 71', Rafita , Gabilondo J. ,
  • 72', Soriano M. , Jurado J. ,
  • 86', Chupe , Jauregi E. ,
  • 90', Lopez R. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5tbjbv36

Chances of winning


Málaga
33%
Draw
30.8%
Deportivo La Coruña
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 31.1% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 32.3% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Deportivo La Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Málaga - Deportivo La Coruña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (3.09)
    3.29
    (3.05)
    2.9
    (2.48)
    -1.4%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Málaga - Deportivo La Coruña?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). Deportivo will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 63.8%92.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Deportivo (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Málaga (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Deportivo (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Deportivo (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo La Coruña will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Deportivo (votes: 17 - 81%). Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2.
    • Málaga has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Deportivo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Deportivo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Deportivo could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Merino I. (International duty) Montero J. (Red Card) Munoz J. (Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo: Escudero S. (Muscle Injury) Mella D. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Nino A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Deportivo: Gragera J. (Thigh Injury) Navarro X. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Deportivo La Coruña were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Málaga - Deportivo La Coruña 1:1
    06.10.2024 Deportivo La Coruña - Málaga 0:0
    Latest results of Málaga
    05.10.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 3:0
    28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1
    21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1
    13.09.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0
    06.09.2025 Málaga - Granada 2:2
    Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation