Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 23% | 77% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 33 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (120/179) | 89% (470/529) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 33 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 13 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 21 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 22 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 68 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (120/179) | 89% (470/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 74% (20/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 83% (209/253) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 28% (19/67) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 22 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 76 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Kone A. 🟨,
- 13', Al Harabi A. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Al Aqel M. S. M. ⚽,
- 45+2', Al Aqel M. S. M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hawsawi I. ↓, Abdi F. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Boutobba B. ⚽, Felippe Cardoso (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Kone A. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
- 58', Kone A. ↓, Al Saad M. ↑,
- 65', Boutobba B. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
- 73', Hegazy A. 🟨,
- 75', Al Oyayari A. ↓, Abdu A. ↑,
- 75', Messi R. ↓, Al Burayk M. ↑,
- 86', Guga ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Najma
16.8% | Draw
22.8% | Neom
60.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Al-Najma - Neom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.56 ↑
(5.01) |
4.14 ↑
(4.1) |
1.54 ↓
(1.56) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).
- Al-Najma has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Neom has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Neom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Neom is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Neom will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Neom?
Al-Najma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al-Najma?
Neom has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Najma - Neom were as follows:
25.12.2025
Neom
-
Al-Najma
2:1
19.02.2025
Neom
-
Al-Najma
2:0
01.10.2024
Al-Najma
-
Neom
2:3
Latest results of Al-Najma
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
