Result
1:3
12/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (263/327) | 85% (395/462) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (263/327) | 85% (395/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 44% (14/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (71/104) | 71% (99/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.62 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Boutobba B. 🟨,
- 28', Al Salkhadi M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Rabea H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 51', 1 - 0, Felippe Cardoso ⚽,
- 56', Meite Y. 🟨,
- 60', Abdullah T. 🟨,
- 62', Al Salkhadi M. ↓, Al Qahtani A. ↑,
- 62', Rabea H. ↓, Al Anazi D. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Meite Y. ⚽, Bedrane A. (A),
- 70', Abdullah T. ↓, Sharahili R. ↑,
- 77', Boutobba B. ↓, Tijanic D. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Vada V. ⚽,
- 82', Dawran M. M. Y. ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
- 84', Sharahili R. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 3, Okita J. ⚽, Vada V. (A),
- 86', Okita J. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
- 89', Lazaro ↓, Al Aqel M. S. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Najma
32.3% | Draw
27.1% | Damac
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Al-Najma - Damac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(2.9) |
3.46 ↑
(3.27) |
2.3 ↓
(2.31) |
7.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Najma - Damac?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Damac (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Damac will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Damac will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Damac (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 15).
- Al-Najma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Damac has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Damac has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Najma won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Najma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Damac?
Al-Najma has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Damac won against Al-Najma?
Damac has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Najma - Damac were as follows:
22.11.2025
Damac
-
Al-Najma
0:0
23.09.2025
Al-Najma
-
Damac
2:1
25.09.2024
Al-Najma
-
Damac
2:0
Latest results of Al-Najma
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 82:24 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 79:25 | 54 | 74 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 74:32 | 42 | 68 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 57:41 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:48 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:48 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 24:68 | -44 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
