Result
1:2
30/03/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Arena A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/468) | 83% (348/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 21 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/468) | 83% (348/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 54% (34/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (107/156) | 71% (67/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', Bronn D. ↓, Ruggeri F. ↑,
- 27', 0 - 1, Brunori M. ⚽, Blin A. (A),
- 33', Zuccon F. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Brunori M. (A),
- 44', Amatucci L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zuccon F. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
- 54', Blin A. 🟨,
- 58', Raimondo A. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
- 59', Ghiglione P. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 59', Pierozzi N. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
- 67', Gomes C. ↓, Ranocchia F. ↑,
- 68', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 75', Soriano R. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
- 81', Brunori M. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
- 82', Segre J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 85', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Amatucci L. ⚽, Corazza T. (A),
Chances of winning
Salernitana
35.2% | Draw
30.2% | Palermo
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Salernitana - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.6) |
3.11 ↓
(3.22) |
2.72 ↑
(2.71) |
6.3%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Salernitana - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Palermo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Salernitana: Braaf J.
(Injury)
Caligara F.
(Injury)
Jaroszynski P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Palermo: Di Mariano F.
(Injury)
Gomis A.
(Injury)
Nikolaou D.
(Inactive)
Sirigu S.
(Knee Injury)
Verre V.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Salernitana: Lochoshvili L.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Palermo?
Salernitana has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Salernitana?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salernitana - Palermo were as follows:
06.10.2024
Palermo
-
Salernitana
0:1
Latest results of Salernitana
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
