Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Tokyo
Result
2:0
22/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 21
Gamba Osaka - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.11
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
77% (225/292)83% (318/384)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.87
Total shots
147
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
77% (225/292)83% (318/384)
Long passes
38% (18/48)31% (11/36)
Passes in final third
63% (69/109)57% (56/98)
Crosses
0% (0/13)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.41
Throw-ins
1726
Fouls
1011
Tackles
63% (15/24)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
2330
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.871.74
Goals prevented
0.87-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Abe S. 🟨,
  • 18', Shirai K. , Bangnagande K. ,
  • 32', Higashi K. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Usami T. ,
  • 40', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
  • 64', Yamashita R. , Juan Alano ,
  • 64', Lavi N. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 65', Higashi K. , Nagakura M. ,
  • 65', Endo K. , Anzai S. ,
  • 65', Tawaratsumida K. , Sato K. ,
  • 78', Usami T. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 78', Welton , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 84', Marcelo Ryan , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 85', Abe S. , Kurata S. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Kishimoto T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
50.7%
Draw
26.3%
Tokyo
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 27.6% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 24.6% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gamba Osaka that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2)
    3.62
    (3.47)
    4.08
    (3.91)
    5.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 42%87.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
    • Gamba Osaka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tokyo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Gamba Osaka is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Inactive) Henrique Trevisan (Inactive) Kobayashi M. (Inactive) Ogashiwa T. (Injury) Yamaguchi T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Tokyo were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    07.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 0:0
    26.05.2024 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    01.10.2023 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    11.06.2023 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 3:1
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Tokyo
    18.06.2025 Tokyo - Zweigen Kanazawa 3:1
    14.06.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:2
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Vissel Kobe22124628:21740
    4Kyoto22115636:261038
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima22113826:18836
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Tokyo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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