Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two
Result
1:0
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.871.01
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
33
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
43
Passes
67% (201/300)61% (160/262)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.871.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.140.27
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free kicks
1810
Passes
67% (201/300)61% (160/262)
Long passes
33% (22/66)29% (22/77)
Passes in final third
41% (38/92)48% (51/107)
Crosses
13% (2/16)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.61
Throw ins
2835
Fouls
1018
Tackles
69% (9/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
6961
Clearances
4826
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.271.14
Goals prevented
0.270.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Paterson C. 🟨,
  • 28', Harbottle R. 🟨,
  • 40', Offord L. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 1 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Matete J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
  • 63', Harrison E. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
  • 68', Senior J. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
  • 76', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
  • 77', Mola C. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
  • 83', Paterson C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
  • 84', Wiles B. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
  • 89', Conteh K. 🟨,
  • 90', Sparkes J. 🟨,
  • 90', Kelly L. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Collins A. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
59.2%		Draw
23.7%		Bristol Rovers
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 26.6% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 22.1% 24.1%

Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.58 ↓
(1.72)		 3.93 ↑
(3.45)		 5.43 ↑
(4.58)		 7.2%
(9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - MK Dons (2.01) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - MK Dons (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (4.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 22).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3.
    • In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bristol Rovers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, MK Dons is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4
    04.02.2023 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2
    13.12.2022 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 4:1
    11.10.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers 0:1
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    24.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town 5:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺
    10.01.2026 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons Postponed
    09.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United 1:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    24.01.2026 Salford City - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Colchester United 0:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 3:4 ✺
    04.01.2026 Barrow - Bristol Rovers Postponed ✺
    01.01.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers 0:3 ✺
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley29178452:312159
    2Notts Co29166744:291554
    3Cambridge Utd28158538:221653
    4Swindon29164947:341352
    5Salford29164941:35652
    6MK Dons29149656:312551
    7Walsall29147837:28949
    8Chesterfield291112646:39745
    9Grimsby28128841:32944
    10Crewe301281046:38844
    11Barnet291110837:30743
    12Accrington291271035:30543
    13Colchester28119841:311042
    14Gillingham28911838:35338
    15Fleetwood281071137:37037
    16Oldham27811828:26235
    17Tranmere29881342:49-732
    18Cheltenham28931627:48-2130
    19Bristol Rovers29831826:47-2127
    20Crawley29681532:47-1526
    21Barrow27661528:42-1424
    22Shrewsbury28581523:47-2423
    23Newport28551829:54-2520
    24Harrogate30462020:49-2918

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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