Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/321) | 86% (376/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/321) | 86% (376/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 48% (15/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (59/89) | 75% (113/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 24% (8/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.18 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Lucas Mugni ⚽, Pedro Raul (A),
- 37', Lourenco 🟨,
- 39', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rincon T. ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 55', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
- 63', Fernandinho ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 63', Lucas Mugni ↓, Vina ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Pedro Henrique ⚽, Galeano A. (A),
- 67', Escobar G. ↓, Souza ↑,
- 67', Igor Vinicius ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 72', Diego ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 72', Lourenco ↓, Richardson ↑,
- 76', Guilherme ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 82', Rollheiser B. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 86', Tiquinho Soares 🟨,
- 90', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, Fernando Sobral ⚽, Pedro Henrique (A),
Chances of winning
Ceará
42.7% | Draw
31.5% | Santos
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Ceará - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.24) |
3.17
(3.17) |
3.99 ↑
(3.36) |
0.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Santos?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 48.9% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Santos (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Ceará (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Santos (votes: 4 - 30.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ceará might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Inactive)
Lucca
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Basso
(Injury)
Neymar
(Thigh Injury)
Victor Hugo
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Santos?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Ceará?
Santos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Santos were as follows:
12.05.2025
Santos
-
Ceará
0:0
22.10.2024
Santos
-
Ceará
1:0
05.07.2024
Ceará
-
Santos
0:1
10.09.2022
Ceará
-
Santos
2:1
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
