Hornchurch vs Dorking Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League South Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers
Result
1:0
02/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 80', 1 - 0, Scannell S. ,

Chances of winning


Hornchurch
36.8%
Draw
27.4%
Dorking Wanderers
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 26.1% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 24.2% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hornchurch's form might have worsened.
  • Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorking Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hornchurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (1.99)
    3.36
    (3.54)
    2.58
    (3.37)
    8.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Dorking will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 9).
    • Hornchurch has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dorking's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers 0:1
    05.10.2024 Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch 3:1
    Latest results of Hornchurch
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hornchurch761016:7919
    2Weston-super-Mare751114:5916
    3Hampton & Richmond742112:8414
    4AFC Totton741211:8313
    5Hemel Hempstead73319:6312
    6Maidenhead732211:7411
    7Torquay732214:11311
    8Ebbsfleet73227:6111
    9Chelmsford73227:8-111
    10Dover731312:11110
    11Dorking731310:10010
    12Maidstone72418:8010
    13Worthing723210:919
    14Chesham72328:809
    15Slough72327:709
    16Horsham FC72239:908
    17Farnborough722314:15-18
    18Bath72237:10-38
    19Enfield Town71334:7-36
    20Dag & Red71337:12-56
    21Salisbury70434:9-54
    22Chippenham71157:13-64
    23Tonbridge70437:14-74
    24Eastbourne Boro70254:11-72

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation