Result
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning
Hornchurch
41.3% | Draw
27.2% | Chelmsford City
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hornchurch's form might have worsened.Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelmsford City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hornchurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelmsford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hornchurch - Chelmsford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.92) |
3.39 ↓
(3.58) |
2.93 ↓
(3.48) |
8.5%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hornchurch - Chelmsford City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Hornchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hornchurch could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hornchurch won against Chelmsford City?
Hornchurch has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelmsford City won against Hornchurch?
Chelmsford City has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Chelmsford City were as follows:
10.11.2025
Chelmsford City
-
Hornchurch
2:0
18.01.2025
Chelmsford City
-
Hornchurch
2:1
21.09.2024
Hornchurch
-
Chelmsford City
0:2
Latest results of Hornchurch
Latest results of Chelmsford City
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Worthing | 44 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 96:50 | 46 | 81 |
| 2 | Dorking | 44 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 78 |
| 3 | Torquay | 44 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 84:59 | 25 | 77 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 75:60 | 15 | 76 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 44 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 75 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 21 | 11 | 12 | 69:52 | 17 | 74 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 44 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 65:41 | 24 | 73 |
| 8 | Weston-super-Mare | 43 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 59:47 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Maidstone | 44 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 67:47 | 20 | 71 |
| 10 | Chesham | 44 | 21 | 8 | 15 | 66:51 | 15 | 71 |
| 11 | Chelmsford | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 67:56 | 11 | 69 |
| 12 | Dag & Red | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 59:59 | 0 | 63 |
| 13 | AFC Totton | 43 | 18 | 6 | 19 | 54:70 | -16 | 60 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 59:62 | -3 | 57 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 56 |
| 16 | Slough | 44 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 64:80 | -16 | 51 |
| 17 | Hampton & Richmond | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 55:68 | -13 | 50 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 65:85 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Dover | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58:72 | -14 | 49 |
| 20 | Salisbury | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 47:63 | -16 | 49 |
| 21 | Chippenham ✔ | 44 | 11 | 9 | 24 | 50:74 | -24 | 42 |
| 22 | Bath | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 44:71 | -27 | 40 |
| 23 | Enfield Town ✔ | 44 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 50:79 | -29 | 37 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Boro ✔ | 44 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 54:86 | -32 | 33 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chippenham is Relegated to
Enfield Town is Relegated to
Eastbourne Boro is Relegated to
