Birmingham Legion vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
19/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Vincze R. (Hun)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.452.41
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
85% (420/492)76% (240/317)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.452.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.701.90
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
3317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
85% (420/492)76% (240/317)
Long passes
50% (14/28)36% (25/69)
Passes in final third
78% (116/149)62% (43/69)
Crosses
26% (6/23)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.98
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
1216
Tackles
71% (15/21)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5247
Clearances
1023
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.901.70
Goals prevented
-1.10-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Bonfiglio F. , Gavilanes A. (A),
  • 14', Knutson D. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Paterson AJ , Vassell P. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 2, Ricketts J. , Blanco S. (A),
  • 23', Campisi N. 🟥,
  • 25', Gavilanes A. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 38', 1 - 3, Zarate T. ,
  • 45+5', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Laszo E. , Travis J. ,
  • 61', McCartney D. , Martinez E. ,
  • 61', Vassell P. , Pasher T. ,
  • 63', McIllhatton S. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 3, Damus R. , Daley A. (A),
  • 67', Blanco S. , Diaz G. ,
  • 67', Zarate T. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 69', Diaz G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
48.9%
Draw
25.8%
Miami
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 24.8% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 23.2% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Birmingham Legion - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.91)
    3.63
    (3.75)
    3.69
    (3.53)
    7%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.
    • Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Miami is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Birmingham might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Miami were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Miami - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    22.09.2024 Birmingham Legion - Miami 1:0
    20.04.2024 Miami - Birmingham Legion 0:1
    24.09.2023 Birmingham Legion - Miami 0:2
    03.05.2023 Miami - Birmingham Legion 3:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    Latest results of Miami
    11.10.2025 Louisville City - Miami 1:0
    26.09.2025 North Carolina - Miami 1:0
    19.09.2025 Miami - Rhode Island 0:1
    13.09.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Miami 0:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

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