Columbus Crew 2 vs Chicago Fire II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
xG on target (xGOT)
3.991.10
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
219
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3824
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Long passes
44% (12/27)63% (31/49)
Passes in final third
79% (110/140)79% (95/120)
Crosses
33% (4/12)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.76
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
1514
Tackles
67% (14/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
311
xGOT faced
1.103.99
Goals prevented
-0.900.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Shokalook J. , Fleming R. (A),
  • 15', Elliot Q. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Shokalook J. , Diouf J. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Rincon N. , Adams C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Camacho R. , Di Noto G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Adams C. , Rincon N. (A),
  • 55', Diouf J. , Berg H. ,
  • 58', 2 - 3, Di Noto G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Forfor P. , Auvray K. ,
  • 72', Sy I. , Granda J. J. ,
  • 81', Ferdinand K. , Kone I. ,
  • 82', Reynolds J. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 3, Gbamble K. ,
  • 87', Poreba D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 87', Nigg D. , Kanyane G. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, Rincon N. (Pen),
  • 1, Borso D. (Pen),
  • 2, Gbamble K. (Pen),
  • 2, Reynolds J. (Pen),
  • 3, Granda J. J. (Pen),
  • 3, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 4, Rogers C. (Pen),
  • 4, Fleming R. (Pen),
  • 5, Di Noto G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew 2
41.3%
Draw
21.9%
Chicago Fire II
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 22.8% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 22.1% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Chicago Fire II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.15)
    4.2
    (4.02)
    2.49
    (2.65)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Chicago Fire II (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago Fire II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 1.
    • Columbus Crew 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus Crew 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 6:1
    01.06.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 5:0
    27.10.2024 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 0:1
    21.06.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    Latest results of Columbus Crew 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)