Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 29
- Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Russia | Match! Premier |
Match Stats
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| Ball possession |
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| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
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| 7 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lipovoy D. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
- 50', Ortiz D. 🟨,
- 52', Yakuev M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 52', Mrzljak F. ↓, Isaev S. ↑,
- 73', Khalilov M. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
- 76', Tarba Z. 🟨,
- 82', Chistyakov N. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
- 84', Pliev Z. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 0, Yusupov Z. ⚽,
- 87', 🟨,
- 88', Antonov A. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
- 90+2', Khabalov A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ufa 48.3% | Draw 31% | Chernomorets Novorossiysk 20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+3%)
Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↓ (2.06) |
3.09 ↓ (3.23) |
4.61 ↑ (3.9) |
4.6% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Ufa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chernomorets has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Chernomorets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ufa is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ufa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Ufa?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
07.09.2025
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Ufa
3:2
30.11.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Ufa
2:1
12.10.2024
Ufa
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:3
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation