Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Ufa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 9
  • Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
96
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
159
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
44
Free Kicks
1514
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', Isaev S. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Minatulaev O. ,
  • 35', Khabalov A. , Troyanov K. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 45+5', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kukharchuk I. , Aliev S. ,
  • 46', Lozhkin V. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 46', Matyusha M. , Shtepa M. ,
  • 52', 2 - 1, Aliev S. ,
  • 53', Chimezie W. , Akhatov D. ,
  • 53', Mrzljak F. , Baranovsky A. ,
  • 57', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
  • 65', Zhigulev I. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 67', Minatulaev O. , Ortiz D. ,
  • 68', Shlyakov E. , Karpuk I. ,
  • 71', Shtepa M. 🟨,
  • 74', Ortiz D. 🟨,
  • 78', Pomeshkin K. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Karpuk I. ,
  • 90+1', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Pliev Z. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
46.3%
Draw
30.4%
Ufa
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 29% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 28.4% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.89)
    3.15
    (3.27)
    4.1
    (4.57)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Ufa (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Recent form of Chernomorets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ufa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Chernomorets is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa 2:1
    12.10.2024 Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:3
    Latest results of Ufa
    03.09.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Ufa 0:0
    23.08.2025 KAMAZ - Ufa 3:1
    16.08.2025 Ufa - Rodina Moscow 0:0
    10.08.2025 Rotor - Ufa 1:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

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