Ufa vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 29
  • Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
44
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
44
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
44
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
02
Corner kicks
44
Free kicks
717

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lipovoy D. , Minatulaev O. ,
  • 50', Ortiz D. 🟨,
  • 52', Yakuev M. , Akhatov D. ,
  • 52', Mrzljak F. , Isaev S. ,
  • 73', Khalilov M. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 76', Tarba Z. 🟨,
  • 82', Chistyakov N. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 84', Pliev Z. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Yusupov Z. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 88', Antonov A. , Sutugin I. ,
  • 90+2', Khabalov A. , Troyanov K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ufa
48.3%
Draw
31%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 29.4% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 28.7% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.06)
    3.09
    (3.23)
    4.61
    (3.9)
    4.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Ufa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chernomorets has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Chernomorets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ufa is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ufa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa 3:2
    30.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa 2:1
    12.10.2024 Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:3
    Latest results of Ufa
    12.04.2026 Ural - Ufa 0:0
    06.04.2026 Ufa - Torpedo Moscow 1:1
    28.03.2026 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa 1:0
    21.03.2026 Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk 2:1
    15.03.2026 Ufa - Sokol Saratov 2:0
    Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural31177748:282058
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl311013830:25543
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

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