St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund
Result
3:3
23/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandTVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4, SportKlub 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.43
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
82% (396/482)86% (414/481)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.742.58
Total shots
119
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2618
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
82% (396/482)86% (414/481)
Long passes
43% (26/61)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
70% (100/142)60% (49/82)
Crosses
21% (6/28)63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.81
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1312
Tackles
63% (12/19)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4240
Clearances
1445
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.581.74
Goals prevented
-0.42-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Dzwigala A. 🟨,
  • 26', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 37', Smith E. 🟨,
  • 39', Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Adeyemi K. , Brandt J. ,
  • 46', Bellingham J. , Nmecha F. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Hountondji A. , Sinani D. (A),
  • 65', Couto Y. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Anton W. , Nmecha F. (A),
  • 68', Hountondji A. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 74', 1 - 3, Brandt J. , Gross P. (A),
  • 77', Pyrka A. , Saliakas M. ,
  • 77', Dzwigala A. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 85', Mane F. 🟥,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Sinani D. (Pen),
  • 87', Gross P. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 88', Sands J. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 89', 3 - 3, Smith E. , Saliakas M. (A),
  • 90+3', Sabitzer M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
19.5%
Draw
25.7%
Borussia Dortmund
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21% 23.9% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4% 24.6% 56.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.23
    (4.57)
    3.88
    (4.02)
    1.78
    (1.74)
    1.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (55 of 65 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.85%93.39%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
    • St. Pauli is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Borussia D has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Nemeth D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Couto Y. (Knee Injury) Ryerson J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    01.03.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    18.10.2024 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 2:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    09.08.2025 St. Pauli - Verona 1:0
    02.08.2025 Coventry City - St. Pauli 2:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    20.07.2025 St. Pauli - Karlsruher 6:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich550022:31915
    2Dortmund541011:3813
    3RB Leipzig54017:7012
    4Eintracht Frankfurt530217:1349
    5Stuttgart53027:619
    6Bayer Leverkusen522110:828
    7FC Koln521210:917
    8Freiburg52129:907
    9St. Pauli52128:807
    10Hoffenheim52129:11-27
    11Union Berlin52128:11-37
    12Wolfsburg51227:705
    13Hamburger SV51222:8-65
    14Mainz51135:6-14
    15Werder Bremen51138:14-64
    16Augsburg51048:12-43
    17Heidenheim51044:10-63
    18B. Monchengladbach50235:12-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga