Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
Australia | SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland |
Austria | DAZN |
Brazil | HBO Max |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
China | QQ Sports |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max |
Spain | 3Cat, Esport3 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Tabii, TRT Spor |
United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (322/379) | 91% (477/527) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 2.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (322/379) | 91% (477/527) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (13/40) | 54% (13/24) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (113/148) | 77% (98/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.82 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Musovski D. 🟨,
- 28', Rothrock P. 🟨,
- 40', Desler M. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Rubio D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Brunell S. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Minoungou G. ⚽, Musovski D. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
- 60', Musovski D. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
- 60', Rothrock P. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 62', Rubio D. ↓, Bukari O. ↑,
- 62', Sabovic B. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 70', Rusnak A. ↓, Leyva D. ↑,
- 78', Sanchez I. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
- 78', Wolff O. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 90+2', Ferreira J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Roldan A. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Uzuni M. ⚽, Fodrey C. (A), Pereira D. (A2)
Chances of winning
Austin FC 30.8% | Draw 27.5% | Seattle Sounders 41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin FC's form might have worsened.Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Austin FC - Seattle Sounders Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.07 ↑ (2.44) |
3.48 ↓ (3.53) |
2.31 ↓ (2.69) |
4.5% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Austin FC - Seattle Sounders?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Seattle (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1.
- Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Seattle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P.
(Knee Injury)
Hawkins S.
(Thigh Injury)
Kent R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Seattle: Joao Paulo
(Knee Injury)
de La Vega P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against Seattle Sounders?
Austin FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Seattle Sounders won against Austin FC?
Seattle Sounders has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
13.07.2024
Austin FC
-
Seattle Sounders
0:1
02.03.2024
Seattle Sounders
-
Austin FC
0:0
30.08.2023
Austin FC
-
Seattle Sounders
1:2
17.05.2023
Seattle Sounders
-
Austin FC
1:2
10.09.2022
Seattle Sounders
-
Austin FC
3:0
Latest results of Austin FC
Latest results of Seattle Sounders
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:0 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 15 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | San Diego FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | DC United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 3 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:23 | -18 | 3 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)