Sydney vs Auckland FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 10

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.891.44
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
85
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
66
Passes
84% (406/482)79% (303/384)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.891.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.941.08
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
77
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
1312
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3426
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free kicks
145
Passes
84% (406/482)79% (303/384)
Long passes
42% (23/55)26% (13/50)
Passes in final third
68% (73/107)63% (51/81)
Crosses
26% (6/23)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.89
Throw ins
3014
Fouls
514
Tackles
69% (9/13)59% (16/27)
Duels won
5650
Clearances
2827
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
57
xGOT faced
1.082.94
Goals prevented
1.081.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Gallegos L. F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Francois M. , Rogerson L. ,
  • 53', Brook L. , May G. ,
  • 54', Gallegos L. F. , Howieson C. ,
  • 59', Cosgrove S. 🟨,
  • 63', Cosgrove S. , Pijnaker N. ,
  • 73', Campuzano V. , Hollman C. ,
  • 77', Arslan A. , Quispe Cordova P. A. ,
  • 77', Lolley J. , Toure A. ,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Popovic A. , Quispe Cordova P. A. (A),
  • 89', Sakai H. , Elliot C. ,
  • 90+1', Quispe Cordova P. A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Stamatelopoulos A. , Courtney-Perkins J. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Grant A. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Sydney
34%
Draw
26.8%
Auckland FC
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 27% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 25.8% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney's form might have worsened.
  • Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auckland FC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auckland FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sydney - Auckland FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.23)
    3.51
    (3.42)
    2.42
    (2.91)
    5.8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sydney - Auckland FC?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Auckland will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 31.8%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Auckland (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Sydney (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Sydney (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Sydney (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Auckland (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Auckland (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Sydney has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Auckland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sydney has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Sydney: Okon-Engstler P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Auckland FC were as follows:
    06.02.2026 Auckland FC - Sydney 1:0
    23.08.2025 Sydney - Auckland FC 1:2
    12.04.2025 Sydney - Auckland FC 2:2
    26.10.2024 Auckland FC - Sydney 1:0
    Latest results of Sydney
    Latest results of Auckland FC
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Central Coast Mariners1975727:27026
    7Macarthur FC2067725:31-625
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)