Result
0:0
02/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (352/423) | 87% (416/479) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (352/423) | 87% (416/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 39% (16/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (83/124) | 72% (80/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Popovic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Toure A. ↓, De Jesus Z. ↑,
- 66', Kamijo W. ↓, Okon-Engstler P. ↑,
- 66', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Wood P. ↑,
- 72', Thom N. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
- 72', Ruhs M. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
- 75', Okon-Engstler P. 🟨,
- 78', Courtney-Perkins J. 🟨,
- 79', Arslan A. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- 79', Salas Y. 🟨,
- 86', Quintal T. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
- 88', Salas Y. ↓, Vrakas G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
34.4% | Draw
26.7% | Sydney
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Brisbane Roar - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(3.08) |
3.54 ↓
(3.55) |
2.44 ↑
(2.24) |
5.4%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Sydney?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Sydney will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 23.2% – 63.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Brisbane (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
- Brisbane is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sydney has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games.
- Sydney could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Bility H.
(Inactive)
D'Agostino N.
(Knee Injury)
Long Ch.
(Ankle Injury)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Sydney: Lolley J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Sydney?
Brisbane Roar has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Brisbane Roar?
Sydney has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Sydney were as follows:
21.02.2026
Sydney
-
Brisbane Roar
1:0
18.01.2025
Sydney
-
Brisbane Roar
3:4
01.11.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Sydney
2:3
10.03.2024
Sydney
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
06.01.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Sydney
1:2
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
