Result
1:4
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 4
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (253/358) | 69% (222/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (253/358) | 69% (222/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (36/72) | 28% (21/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (110/171) | 55% (71/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 78 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Mullarkey T. (Own goal),
- 22', 0 - 2, March J. ⚽, Lunt O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Mullarkey T. ↓, Potter F. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 3, Agius C. ⚽, Lunt O. (A),
- 56', 0 - 4, Hutchinson R. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
- 56', Davies W. 🟨,
- 57', Rooney S. 🟨,
- 61', Graydon R. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
- 61', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 67', Lunt O. 🟨,
- 67', Lynch J. 🟨,
- 67', Powell J. 🟨,
- 68', Powell J. ↓, Golding J. ↑,
- 68', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Morrison G. ↑,
- 69', Rooney S. ↓, Johnson W. ↑,
- 73', March J. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
- 73', O'Reilly T. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 77', Demetriou M. 🟨,
- 77', Evans C. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 4, Norwood J. (Pen),
- 82', Booth T. 🟨,
- 83', Norwood J. 🟨,
- 84', Lunt O. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 90+4', Morrison G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
22.4% | Draw
28.9% | Crewe Alexandra
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fleetwood Town's form might have worsened.Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+18%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-18.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.71 ↑
(2.36) |
4.21 ↑
(3.19) |
2.39 ↓
(3.07) |
-16.8%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Crewe will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Crewe (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3.
- Fleetwood is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Crewe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Fleetwood Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
04.03.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Fleetwood Town
1:4
22.10.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:1
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
