Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 32
  • Referee: Dale A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.670.83
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
33
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Passes
66% (210/320)67% (249/369)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.670.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.38
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
126
Passes
66% (210/320)67% (249/369)
Long passes
41% (31/76)38% (34/89)
Passes in final third
61% (91/149)54% (67/123)
Crosses
24% (7/29)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.78
Throw ins
2824
Fouls
612
Tackles
80% (8/10)74% (14/19)
Duels won
6766
Clearances
4031
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.380.24
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', Garner J. , Fondop-Talum M. ,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Helm M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Simeu D. , Stevens J. ,
  • 46', Taylor K. , Drummond K. ,
  • 62', Powell J. 🟨,
  • 65', Davies W. 🟨,
  • 73', Kavanagh C. , Hawkes J. ,
  • 75', Davies W. , Osong D. E. ,
  • 75', Virtue-Thick M. , Neal H. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Stevens J. ,
  • 87', Ennis E. , Clark M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oldham Athletic
46.4%
Draw
28.2%
Fleetwood Town
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 27.3% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 22.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.89)
    3.31
    (3.38)
    3.65
    (3.83)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Oldham is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D. (Inactive) Johnson W. (Inactive) Potter F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Garner J. (Injury) Mellon M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) McCann L. (Inactive) Norwood J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Fleetwood Town - Oldham Athletic 1:1
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MK Dons ✔ 452413885:444185
    2Bromley ✔ 452315768:452384
    3Cambridge Utd452215866:333381
    4Salford452551561:511080
    5Notts Co452471473:512279
    6Grimsby4522111273:492477
    7Chesterfield452016969:551476
    8Swindon452291469:571275
    9Barnet4520131268:521673
    10Crewe451991764:58666
    11Oldham4517141457:441365
    12Walsall4518111655:53265
    13Colchester4517121658:481063
    14Bristol Rovers451942255:64-961
    15Fleetwood4515151556:57-160
    16Accrington4514112047:55-853
    17Cheltenham4514102152:75-2352
    18Gillingham4512141952:72-2050
    19Shrewsbury4513102242:68-2649
    20Tranmere4510102553:78-2540
    21Newport451172746:76-3040
    22Crawley458152244:68-2439
    23Harrogate451092638:66-2839
    24Barrow45992744:76-3236

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One
    Bromley is Qualified for League One