Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 29
Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.47	0.93
Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
10	1
Passes
65% (238/367)	71% (232/327)
Expected goals (xG)
0.47	0.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.06	0.70
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
2	5
Shots inside the box
6	8
Shots outside the box
3	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
10	1
Touches in opposition box
22	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
15	12
Passes
65% (238/367)	71% (232/327)
Long passes
32% (26/81)	30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
50% (74/149)	67% (62/92)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	0.69
Throw ins
22	26
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
58% (7/12)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
68	66
Clearances
17	41
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.70	0.06
Goals prevented
-0.30	0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
42.9%

Draw
30.5%

AFC Wimbledon
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	6.7% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 31.8% – 72.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 10 - 50%). Wimbledon (votes: 5 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Wimbledon (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Port Vale (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Wimbledon (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Port Vale could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Inactive)
There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against AFC Wimbledon?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Port Vale?

AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

11.10.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 1:1

26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2

26.10.2024 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 3:2

Latest results of Port Vale

31.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Port Vale - Exeter City 1:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Mansfield Town - Port Vale 3:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

09.01.2026 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

31.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 0:1 ✺

12.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - West Ham United U21 4:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon 2:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
7	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
8	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
9	Wycombe	34	13	11	10	49:36	13	50
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	31	12	8	11	53:53	0	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	33	11	8	14	38:39	-1	41
16	Mansfield	32	10	10	12	39:37	2	40
17	Burton	34	10	9	15	38:49	-11	39
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
23	Rotherham	33	9	7	17	33:47	-14	34
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two