Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 12
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (152/245) | 68% (206/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (152/245) | 68% (206/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (15/66) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (49/92) | 49% (51/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Croasdale R. 🟨,
- 67', Croasdale R. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
- 67', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 69', Reeves J. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 0, Hackford A. ⚽,
- 76', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
- 77', Browne M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
- 80', Curtis R. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Cole D. ⚽,
- 90', Hall G. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
- 90+1', Ogundere I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon 32.4% | Draw 32% | Port Vale 35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.48) |
2.93 ↓ (3.24) |
2.66 ↓ (2.81) |
4.9% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
- Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Port Vale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Neck Injury)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Bugiel O.
(Injury)
Hackford A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Kyle John
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Port Vale?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against AFC Wimbledon?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale were as follows:
26.04.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Port Vale
0:2
26.10.2024
Port Vale
-
AFC Wimbledon
3:2
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Port Vale
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stockport County | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 28 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:18 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | Bolton | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Stevenage | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 | Huddersfield | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
| 12 | Rotherham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 21 |
| 13 | Northampton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 12:14 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 19 |
| 15 | Burton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 16 | Wigan | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 18 |
| 17 | Reading | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | Exeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 17 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 13 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 13 |
| 24 | Plymouth | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18:28 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two