Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 29
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.470.93
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
21
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
101
Passes
65% (238/367)71% (232/327)
Expected goals (xG)
0.470.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.70
Total shots
910
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free kicks
1512
Passes
65% (238/367)71% (232/327)
Long passes
32% (26/81)30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
50% (74/149)67% (62/92)
Crosses
13% (3/23)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.69
Throw ins
2226
Fouls
1215
Tackles
58% (7/12)47% (9/19)
Duels won
6866
Clearances
1741
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.700.06
Goals prevented
-0.300.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 88', 0 - 1, ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
42.9%
Draw
30.5%
AFC Wimbledon
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.5% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 28.4% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.16)
    3.07
    (3.1)
    3.53
    (3.25)
    6.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 31.8%72.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 10 - 50%). Wimbledon (votes: 5 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Wimbledon (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Port Vale (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Wimbledon (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Port Vale could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    11.10.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 1:1
    26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2
    26.10.2024 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two