AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale
Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 12
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.72
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
511
Passes
62% (152/245)68% (206/303)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.47
Total shots
616
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
511
Touches in opposition box
1531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
62% (152/245)68% (206/303)
Long passes
23% (15/66)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
53% (49/92)49% (51/104)
Crosses
21% (5/24)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.02
Throw-ins
2930
Fouls
1013
Tackles
50% (8/16)57% (4/7)
Duels won
5771
Clearances
5338
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.471.95
Goals prevented
0.470.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Croasdale R. 🟨,
  • 67', Croasdale R. , Stockley J. ,
  • 67', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Hackford A. ,
  • 69', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Hackford A. ,
  • 76', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
  • 77', Browne M. , Maycock C. ,
  • 80', Curtis R. , Paton R. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Cole D. ,
  • 90', Hall G. , Faal M. ,
  • 90+1', Ogundere I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
32.4%
Draw
32%
Port Vale
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.9% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.9% 32.2%

AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.01
(2.48)
2.93
(3.24)
2.66
(2.81)
4.9%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
    • Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Port Vale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Bugiel O. (Injury) Hackford A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Kyle John (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale were as follows:
    26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2
    26.10.2024 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Port Vale
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County1584322:17528
    2Bradford City1576224:18627
    3Bolton1575323:15826
    4Cardiff1482422:14826
    5Stevenage1382318:11726
    6Lincoln1574418:14425
    7AFC Wimbledon1581619:20-125
    8Mansfield1564522:17522
    9Luton1471618:15322
    10Huddersfield1471621:19222
    11Barnsley1363420:18221
    12Rotherham1563618:18021
    13Northampton1562712:14-220
    14Wycombe1554622:17519
    15Burton1554615:19-419
    16Wigan1546518:19-118
    17Reading1546516:19-318
    18Doncaster1553714:21-718
    19Exeter1552815:15017
    20Leyton Orient1552822:27-517
    21Blackpool1543816:23-715
    22Peterborough1441915:22-713
    23Port Vale1534811:19-813
    24Plymouth15411018:28-1013

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two