Result
1:3
03/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 28
- Referee: Prskalo Z. (Sui)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/388) | 83% (440/527) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 3.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/388) | 83% (440/527) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (33/55) | 52% (33/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (75/120) | 78% (118/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (19/22) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.26 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Schwizer D. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Beyer B. ⚽, Cocic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', Seydoux L. 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 2, Beyer B. ⚽, Schwizer D. (A),
- 64', Gasser C. ↓, Hammerich M. ↑,
- 64', Mulaj L. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
- 64', Hautier J. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 65', Carraco D. ↓, Bourezak A. ↑,
- 71', Demhasaj S. ↓, Veya L. ↑,
- 77', Beyer B. ↓, Akinola A. ↑,
- 79', Lang N. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 2, Kone K. ⚽,
- 80', Abedini E. ↓, Zahaj E. ↑,
- 85', Cocic M. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
- 85', Seiler S. ↓, De Donno G. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 3, Akinola A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax
26.7% | Draw
25.7% | Vaduz
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Vaduz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vaduz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↓
(3.81) |
3.6 ↓
(3.66) |
1.95 ↑
(1.81) |
7.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Neuchâtel Xamax will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 0.
- In recent matches, Xamax has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vaduz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Xamax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vaduz is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Xamax: Reinhard S.
(Injury)
Sacramento dos Santos G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vaduz: Berisha L.
(Broken rib)
Eberhard M.
(Injury)
Monsberger M.
(Yellow Cards)
Oehri T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Vaduz?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaduz won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Vaduz has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz were as follows:
22.02.2026
Vaduz
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:0
05.12.2025
Vaduz
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:0
25.08.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Vaduz
1:1
06.04.2025
Vaduz
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:1
14.02.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Vaduz
0:0
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 61:31 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 29 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 53 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:40 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | Xamax | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Wil | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:43 | -12 | 33 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 34:41 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
