İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 16
  • Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.64
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
80% (320/400)78% (328/419)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.52
Total shots
139
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
80% (320/400)78% (328/419)
Long passes
46% (23/50)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
66% (64/97)58% (51/88)
Crosses
16% (4/25)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.63
Throw-ins
2624
Fouls
1813
Tackles
67% (4/6)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3741
Clearances
1927
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.521.46
Goals prevented
0.52-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Gultekin E. , Duymaz O. F. ,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Basyigit E. , Ciftci U. (A),
  • 40', Celik C. 🟨,
  • 43', Vorobjovas M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Badji A. , Boke T. ,
  • 49', Ciftci U. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Sambissa D. ,
  • 64', Uzunhan E. 🟨,
  • 67', Avramovski D. , Ethemi V. ,
  • 70', Krstovski M. , Sol M. ,
  • 70', Loshaj F. , Temel V. ,
  • 76', Celik C. , Seker T. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Temel V. , Sol M. (A),
  • 86', Fidan K. , Malle A. ,
  • 90+1', Sambissa D. , Sahin C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbulspor
38.9%
Draw
28.6%
Sivasspor
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 26% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 24.8% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbulspor's performance.
  • Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbulspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • İstanbulspor - Sivasspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.8)
    3.25
    (3.57)
    2.86
    (2.27)
    7.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for İstanbulspor - Sivasspor?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 13).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sivasspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aydin D. (Suspended) Kabadayi K. (Suspended) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Ozer Y. (Suspended) Sarialioglu E. (Suspended) Tultak F. (Suspended) Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Sivasspor: Abdullah Cakmak A. (Suspended) Albayrak M. (Suspended) Celik M. (Suspended) Menderes C. (Suspended) Pritchard A. (Inactive) Vural A. (Suspended) Yigiter O. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbulspor - Sivasspor were as follows:
    17.05.2024 İstanbulspor - Sivasspor 1:3
    23.12.2023 Sivasspor - İstanbulspor 1:0
    13.07.2023 Sivasspor - İstanbulspor 3:0
    13.03.2023 İstanbulspor - Sivasspor 3:0
    11.09.2022 Sivasspor - İstanbulspor 1:1
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    03.12.2025 Sivasspor - Aliaga 1:3
    30.11.2025 Sivasspor - Boluspor 1:0
    23.11.2025 Erokspor - Sivasspor 2:1
    08.11.2025 Sivasspor - Manisa FK 3:2
    01.11.2025 Umraniyespor - Sivasspor 1:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to