VfB Stuttgart II vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
19/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 34
  • Referee: Besong J. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
73
Corner kicks
52
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
149
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
76
Corner kicks
52
Offsides
14
Free kicks
207
Throw ins
1414
Fouls
616

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', Luers J. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Sessa N. ,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Jeremy Arevalo , Olivier C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Luers J. , Spalt Y. ,
  • 46', Meyer L. , Di Benedetto S. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Guttau J. , Bar M. (A),
  • 61', Fressle K. , Ouro-Tagba M. ,
  • 64', Zobel T. 🟨,
  • 65', Ehlers J. , Simnica L. ,
  • 65', Weinhauer E. , Schmid M. ,
  • 71', Simnica L. 🟨,
  • 73', Nothnagel D. , Kohler T. ,
  • 78', Gunther-Schmidt J. , Fabisch J. ,
  • 78', Guttau J. , Clausen M. ,
  • 78', Majetschak E. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,
  • 81', Sessa N. , Groiss A. ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Bar M. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


VfB Stuttgart II
53%
Draw
23.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 22.6% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 22.5% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VfB Stuttgart II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erzgebirge Aue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erzgebirge Aue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • VfB Stuttgart II - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.92)
    3.98
    (4.11)
    3.88
    (3.2)
    8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart II - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stuttgart II will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Aue (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Stuttgart II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aue is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Stuttgart II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Stuttgart II might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VfB Stuttgart II - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - VfB Stuttgart II 0:0
    05.04.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - VfB Stuttgart II 2:1
    27.10.2024 VfB Stuttgart II - Erzgebirge Aue 0:1
    Latest results of VfB Stuttgart II
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck35227658:283073
    2Cottbus35199768:482066
    3RW Essen351810773:581564
    4Duisburg35189863:471663
    5Hansa Rostock351612764:422260
    6Verl351610975:472858
    7Alemannia Aachen351761266:551157
    8Munich 18603515101052:47555
    9Wehen351481349:47250
    10Mannheim351471457:65-849
    11Viktoria Koln351451648:49-147
    12Regensburg351371552:55-346
    13Ingolstadt3511101455:49643
    14Stuttgart II351271645:59-1443
    15Saarbrucken359141244:50-641
    16Hoffenheim II351171761:65-440
    17TSV Havelse35881953:77-2432
    18Ulm35952146:72-2632
    19Aue ✔ 355121842:65-2327
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 35552533:79-4620

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Aue is Relegated to
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to