Result
2:1
22/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Huseynli S. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Achimi D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 2 - 1, Kalunga K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cəbrayıl
13.5% | Draw
23.1% | Mingachevir
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cəbrayıl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cəbrayıl's form might have worsened.Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mingachevir's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cəbrayıl than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cəbrayıl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mingachevir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.44 ↑
(4.65) |
4.34 ↑
(3.75) |
1.58
(1.58) |
-0.1%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Cəbrayıl have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mingachevir is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Mingachevir is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cəbrayıl won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cəbrayıl won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cəbrayıl won against Mingachevir?
Cəbrayıl has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mingachevir won against Cəbrayıl?
Mingachevir has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir were as follows:
10.12.2025
Mingachevir
-
Cəbrayıl
2:0
17.09.2025
Cəbrayıl
-
Mingachevir
1:3
17.04.2025
Cəbrayıl
-
Mingachevir
2:0
13.02.2025
Mingachevir
-
Cəbrayıl
0:0
24.10.2024
Cəbrayıl
-
Mingachevir
3:0
Latest results of Cəbrayıl
Latest results of Mingachevir
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku ✔ | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50:19 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Sabail | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 48:23 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:57 | -38 | 16 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League
