Result
2:1
16/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Kalunga K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, Kamta K. ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 1, Abba U. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Mingachevir
73.4% | Draw
17.8% | Difai Ağsu
8.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mingachevir's performance.Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mingachevir that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.39) |
5.06 ↑
(4.15) |
10.23 ↑
(6.7) |
10.8%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 3.
- Mingachevir is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Difai has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Mingachevir is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mingachevir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mingachevir won against Difai Ağsu?
Mingachevir has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Difai Ağsu won against Mingachevir?
Difai Ağsu has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu were as follows:
18.12.2025
Difai Ağsu
-
Mingachevir
1:1
24.09.2025
Mingachevir
-
Difai Ağsu
2:0
01.05.2025
Difai Ağsu
-
Mingachevir
1:4
28.02.2025
Mingachevir
-
Difai Ağsu
1:0
28.11.2024
Difai Ağsu
-
Mingachevir
3:3
Latest results of Mingachevir
Latest results of Difai Ağsu
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku ✔ | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50:19 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Sabail | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 48:23 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:57 | -38 | 16 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League
