Result
2:0
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (232/334) | 62% (194/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (232/334) | 62% (194/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (20/72) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (49/102) | 46% (48/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 74 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Dack B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
- 64', Andrews J. 🟨,
- 71', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 71', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
- 73', Rowe A. 🟨,
- 74', Copley L. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
- 74', Pereira D. ↓, Richards T. ↑,
- 74', Darcy R. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
- 79', Williams J. 🟨,
- 82', Richards L. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Richards T. ⚽, Anderson M. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 0, Adeyemo T. ⚽, Forster H. (A),
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
43.7% | Draw
27% | Gillingham
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gillingham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crawley Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crawley Town - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.35) |
3.47 ↓
(3.58) |
3.17 ↑
(2.68) |
6.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Gillingham will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 32.6% – 78.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.
- Recent form of Crawley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gillingham has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Crawley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gillingham has had a series of home games.
- Crawley might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gillingham: Antwi C.
(Injury)
Little A.
(Red Card)
Masterson C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Gillingham?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Crawley Town?
Gillingham has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Gillingham were as follows:
15.11.2025
Gillingham
-
Crawley Town
2:2
26.12.2023
Gillingham
-
Crawley Town
0:2
19.08.2023
Crawley Town
-
Gillingham
0:1
04.02.2023
Gillingham
-
Crawley Town
1:0
22.11.2022
Crawley Town
-
Gillingham
0:0
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
