Result
0:1
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+8', 🟥,
Chances of winning
SB Castelo Branco
43.1% | Draw
31.1% | Os Marialvas
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.96) |
2.91 ↓
(3.29) |
3.53 ↑
(3.47) |
10.3%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SB Castelo Branco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 10 in the zone Relegation).
- SB Castelo Branco is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marialvas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, SB Castelo Branco is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, SB Castelo Branco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Os Marialvas?
SB Castelo Branco has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Os Marialvas won against SB Castelo Branco?
Os Marialvas has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas were as follows:
24.08.2025
Os Marialvas
-
SB Castelo Branco
2:1
23.02.2025
Os Marialvas
-
SB Castelo Branco
1:0
27.10.2024
SB Castelo Branco
-
Os Marialvas
1:2
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Latest results of Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
