Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peniche
33.1% | Draw
29.9% | SB Castelo Branco
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Peniche - SB Castelo Branco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.47) |
3.02 ↓
(3.25) |
2.44 ↓
(2.57) |
10.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peniche won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against SB Castelo Branco?
Peniche has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Peniche?
SB Castelo Branco has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
07.12.2025
SB Castelo Branco
-
Peniche
5:0
30.11.2024
SB Castelo Branco
-
Peniche
0:1
07.04.2024
Peniche
-
SB Castelo Branco
2:0
17.12.2023
SB Castelo Branco
-
Peniche
2:0
Latest results of Peniche
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
