Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
SB Castelo Branco
61% | Draw
24.3% | Samora Correia
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
SB Castelo Branco - Samora Correia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.54) |
3.71 ↓
(3.78) |
6.15 ↑
(5.56) |
10.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- SB Castelo Branco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Samora Correia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Samora Correia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, SB Castelo Branco is a strong favorite.
- We predict that SB Castelo Branco will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, SB Castelo Branco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Samora Correia?
SB Castelo Branco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against SB Castelo Branco?
Samora Correia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - Samora Correia were as follows:
14.12.2025
Samora Correia
-
SB Castelo Branco
0:1
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Latest results of Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
