Pogoń Szczecin vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin
Result
4:1
26/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 2
  • Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.44
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1920
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
78% (231/297)85% (348/408)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.771.29
Total shots
1920
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1117
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2834
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
811
Passes
78% (231/297)85% (348/408)
Long passes
49% (23/47)63% (20/32)
Passes in final third
66% (77/117)67% (74/110)
Crosses
36% (5/14)20% (6/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.89
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
118
Tackles
60% (6/10)44% (8/18)
Duels won
3847
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
1.292.77
Goals prevented
0.30-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Scalet M. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Huja M. , Grosicki K. (A),
  • 20', Najemski A. 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 1, Koulouris E. , Przyborek A. (A),
  • 43', Mukairu P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 3 - 1, Ulvestad F. , Huja M. (A),
  • 51', Koutris L. 🟨,
  • 58', Labojko J. , Samper S. ,
  • 58', Scalet M. , Rodrigues I. ,
  • 58', Dadashov R. , Czubak K. ,
  • 63', Koutris L. , Leo Borges ,
  • 63', Pozo J. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 74', Krol M. , Van Hoeven B. ,
  • 75', Grosicki K. , Juwara M. ,
  • 75', Cojocaru V. , Kaminski K. ,
  • 80', Wojcik F. , Stolarski P. ,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Koulouris E. ,
  • 89', Przyborek A. , Smolinski K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
57.7%
Draw
23.2%
Motor Lublin
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 26.7% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.77)
    4.05
    (3.5)
    4.91
    (4.55)
    6.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Pogoń Szczecin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Motor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Motor has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Juwara M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Motor: Haxha F. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin 3:0
    02.11.2024 Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin 4:2
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock751110:4616
    2Cracovia742113:9414
    3Korona Kielce842211:7414
    4Jagiellonia641113:10313
    5Gornik Zabrze740310:5512
    6Lech Poznan631211:12-110
    7Pogon Szczecin831411:14-310
    8Zaglebie723214:1139
    9Radomiak Radom722313:1218
    10Termalica B-B722310:1008
    11Motor Lublin62226:9-38
    12Arka Gdynia72235:8-38
    13Legia52126:427
    14Widzew Lodz72149:907
    15GKS Katowice821510:17-77
    16Rakow52036:9-36
    17Piast Gliwice60423:6-34
    18Lechia Gdansk822414:19-53

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1