Excelsior vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/02/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 26
  • Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.93
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
2111
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
93
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
123
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
125
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Free Kicks
915
Offsides
02
Fouls
159
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1917
Touches in the Opposition Box
3115
Passes
85% (451/528)68% (175/257)
Passes in the final third
79% (131/166)49% (29/59)
Crosses
18% (7/38)17% (2/12)
Tackles
76% (13/17)67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
1751
Interceptions
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Tielemans M. 🟨,
  • 16', Dekkers S. 🟨,
  • 35', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', 0 - 1, van den Hurk A. , Golliard T. (A),
  • 60', van Duinen M. , Rosario R. ,
  • 60', Tielemans M. , Duijvestijn L. ,
  • 75', Dekkers S. , Pachonik T. ,
  • 75', Dizdarevic A. , Van Himbeeck A. ,
  • 77', Eijgenraam J. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 77', Fini S. , Donkor J. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Omorowa R. , Donkor J. (A),
  • 84', Golliard T. , Ostrc E. ,
  • 89', Essakkati T. , Bisselink S. ,
  • 90+4', Daneels L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
63.8%
Draw
21.2%
Helmond Sport
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 18.7% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 18.1% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior's form might have worsened.
  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Excelsior - Helmond Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.34)
    4.42
    (4.94)
    6.19
    (7.59)
    7.1%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - Helmond Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Helmond Sport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Excelsior is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31:17 (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Helmond Sport - Excelsior 0:1
    Latest results of Excelsior
    10.02.2025 Jong Ajax - Excelsior 3:2
    01.02.2025 Excelsior - Vitesse 1:3
    26.01.2025 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag 1:0
    17.01.2025 Cambuur - Excelsior 1:0
    14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:4
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )