Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (335/417) | 78% (342/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.07 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
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| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (335/417) | 78% (342/441) |
| Long passes |
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| 53% (43/81) | 51% (33/65) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 63% (80/126) | 62% (78/125) |
| Crosses |
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| 38% (8/21) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.21 | 1.31 |
| Throw ins |
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| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 25% (4/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
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| 43 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.10 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.10 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Muller T. 🟨,
- 35', de Haan M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Blummel S. ⚽, Simons T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 54', Blomme X. 🟨,
- 58', Blomme X. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
- 59', Muller T. ↓, van Schuppen B. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Bijleveld T. ⚽, Cornelisse E. (A),
- 69', 1 - 2, Rijkhoff J. ⚽,
- 70', Simons T. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
- 70', Janga R. ↓, van Veen K. ↑,
- 79', Druijf F. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 80', Reith B. ↓, Sam A. ↑,
- 82', Ali H. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,
- 86', Rijkhoff J. 🟨,
- 86', Burgering B. ↓, Dors M. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, van Veen K. ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Simons S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
FC Eindhoven
14% | Draw
28.4% | Almere City
57.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almere City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almere City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
FC Eindhoven - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.85 ↑
(3.12) |
3.98 ↑
(3.65) |
1.93 ↓
(2.06) |
-11.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 1.
- Recent form of FC Eindhoven has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Almere City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Almere City might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has FC Eindhoven won against Almere City?
FC Eindhoven has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against FC Eindhoven?
Almere City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FC Eindhoven - Almere City were as follows:
15.09.2025
Almere City
-
FC Eindhoven
5:0
26.05.2023
Almere City
-
FC Eindhoven
3:1
22.05.2023
FC Eindhoven
-
Almere City
1:0
10.02.2023
FC Eindhoven
-
Almere City
0:1
12.09.2022
Almere City
-
FC Eindhoven
1:1
Latest results of FC Eindhoven
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 36 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 82:35 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54:41 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 71:56 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Jong PSV | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 65:59 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | Almere City | 36 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 73:59 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 8 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 63:53 | 10 | 43 |
| 13 | Venlo | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 47:55 | -8 | 42 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 52:61 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 | Oss | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 48:62 | -14 | 38 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 36 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 59:73 | -14 | 37 |
| 18 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 19 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 49:71 | -22 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
