Result
1:0
31/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 88', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Derio
40% | Draw
27.3% | Aretxabaleta
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Derio - Aretxabaleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.22) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
2.79 ↑
(2.74) |
9.7%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Derio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aretxabaleta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Derio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Derio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Aretxabaleta?
Derio has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Derio?
Aretxabaleta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
15.03.2025
Derio
-
Aretxabaleta
2:0
01.11.2024
Aretxabaleta
-
Derio
0:1
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 60 |
| 2 | Leioa | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lagun Onak | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 24:18 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Derio | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | Durango | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Anorga | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 21 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17:30 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
