Result
4:2
07/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 59', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Eibar C
34.1% | Draw
28.1% | Aretxabaleta
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Eibar C - Aretxabaleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.63) |
3.24 ↓
(3.33) |
2.41 ↑
(2.37) |
9.9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eibar C won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Eibar C won against Aretxabaleta?
Eibar C has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Eibar C?
Aretxabaleta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar C - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
27.09.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Eibar C
4:0
04.05.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Eibar C
0:1
22.12.2024
Eibar C
-
Aretxabaleta
0:0
Latest results of Eibar C
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 62:23 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Leioa | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 48:28 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:23 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Derio | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Anorga | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 23:40 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
