Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/07/2025 at  14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
 
                                                - Referee: Zamora J. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.84 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 53% | 47% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (286/354) | 73% (235/323) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.84 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.42 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 17 | 15 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (286/354) | 73% (235/323) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 31% (21/67) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 73% (65/89) | 42% (39/92) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 23% (3/13) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.30 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 26 | 25 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 71% (17/24) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 44 | 50 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 23 | 20 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 3 | 9 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.32 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.23 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 23', Lucumi J. ↓, Loayza G. ↑, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 2)
 - 46', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑, 
 - 50', 0 - 1, de la Cruz P. ⚽, Olivares C. (A), 
 - 55', Tamariz A. ↓, Rios M. ↑, 
 - 55', Vilchez J. ↓, Caro D. ↑, 
 - 59', Reyes J. 🟨, 
 - 60', Ganoza M. ↓, Ataupillco J. ↑, 
 - 62', Reyes J. ↓, F. Rojas ↑, 
 - 70', Olivares C. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑, 
 - 76', Franco D. 🟨, 
 - 77', Bandiera N. ↓, Rostaing J. ↑, 
 - 82', 0 - 2, Sandoval T. ⚽, Tapia R. (A), 
 - 86', Orue D. 🟨, 
 - 90+5', 1 - 2, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽, Loayza G. (A), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Ayacucho  37.6% | Draw  31.4% | Atlético Grau  31% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ayacucho - Atlético Grau Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.5 ↓ (2.64) | 
			   2.95 ↓ (3.12) | 
			   2.97 ↑ (2.76) | 
			   7.6% (6.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Atlético Grau?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            6 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Grau will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In recent matches, Ayacucho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Grau is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
 - Ayacucho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
 - There are questionable in Grau: Reyes J.
(Injury)
Sandoval T.
(Injury)
Soto D.
(Knee Injury)
 - In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
 - Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Atlético Grau?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Ayacucho?
                    
                    
                        
                             Atlético Grau has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Atlético Grau were as follows:
                                                        
                                08.02.2025 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                - 
                                Ayacucho 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.09.2022 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                - 
                                Ayacucho 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Ayacucho                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Atlético Grau                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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