Result
0:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (469/531) | 73% (181/249) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (469/531) | 73% (181/249) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 43% (30/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (146/179) | 49% (32/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/38) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.34 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', Porozo J. 🟨,
- 18', Bautista A. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Mora G. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 44', Sanchez C. 🟨,
- 45', Montiel E. 🟨,
- 45', Boya F. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Castaneda K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Guzman V. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
- 46', Togni G. ↓, Idrissi O. ↑,
- 47', Ortiz Orozco P. N. 🟨,
- 52', Idrissi O. 🟨,
- 53', Arciga R. 🟨,
- 62', Blanco D. 🟥,
- 63', Arciga R. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 63', Mora G. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 67', Sanchez C. ↓, Alemao ↑,
- 76', Castaneda K. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
- 86', Inzunza R. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
- 86', Bautista A. ↓, Carvalho W. ↑,
- 87', Barreto S. D. ↓, Berlanga J. ↑,
- 90+13', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pachuca
66.8% | Draw
19.8% | Tijuana
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pachuca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Pachuca - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.31) |
4.75 ↓
(5.52) |
6.94 ↓
(8.02) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.
- Pachuca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tijuana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tijuana has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Pachuca is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Pachuca will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 46:26. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:7. (average 3.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Tijuana?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Pachuca?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Tijuana were as follows:
04.10.2024
Tijuana
-
Pachuca
2:1
03.02.2024
Pachuca
-
Tijuana
3:2
10.11.2023
Tijuana
-
Pachuca
2:3
26.02.2023
Tijuana
-
Pachuca
2:0
11.09.2022
Pachuca
-
Tijuana
6:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
