Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 35
- Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/404) | 83% (351/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/404) | 83% (351/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/97) | 51% (38/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Livaja M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rukavina G. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 61', Menalo L. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 62', Selahi L. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 66', Rusyn N. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
- 66', Sanyang A. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 72', Djouahra N. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Cop D. ⚽, Petrovic D. (A),
- 74', Livaja M. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 74', Skelin M. ↓, Trajkovski A. ↑,
- 76', Uremovic F. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 1, Trajkovski A. ⚽, Rakitic I. (A),
- 87', Gojak A. 🟨,
- 88', Jankovic N. ↓, Dogan D. ↑,
- 89', Rakitic I. ↓, Pukstas R. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+3', Fruk T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
25.3% | Draw
28.7% | Rijeka
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hajduk Split's form might have worsened.Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rijeka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+23.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hajduk Split, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-22.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rijeka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hajduk Split - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↑
(1.97) |
3.24 ↑
(3.2) |
2.03 ↓
(3.65) |
6.8%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Rijeka will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 60.7% – 93.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rijeka will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 0.
- Hajduk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rijeka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rijeka is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Biuk S.
(Injury)
Diallo I.
(Injury)
Mlakar J.
(Injury)
Prpic D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Skoric M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Rijeka?
Hajduk Split has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Hajduk Split?
Rijeka has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Rijeka were as follows:
26.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
1:3
15.12.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
2:2
29.09.2024
Rijeka
-
Hajduk Split
0:0
07.04.2024
Rijeka
-
Hajduk Split
1:0
28.01.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
1:2
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
