Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (211/300) | 85% (458/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (211/300) | 85% (458/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 55% (30/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (60/90) | 76% (136/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Alip N. ↓, Gorshkov Y. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Fernando Costanza ⚽,
- 52', Gerson 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Glushenkov M. ⚽,
- 61', Gerson ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 61', Nino ↓, Erakovic S. ↑,
- 71', Marin J. ↓, Banjac M. ↑,
- 76', Akhmetov I. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
- 86', Luiz Henrique ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
- 88', Oleynikov I. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
- 90+3', Wendel ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
- 90+3', Pedrinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Krylya Sovetov
11.9% | Draw
20% | Zenit
68.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Krylya Sovetov - Zenit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.11 ↑
(7.2) |
4.81 ↑
(4.4) |
1.41
(1.41) |
4.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
- Krylya Sovetov is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Zenit is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Zenit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Krylya Sovetov has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Zenit has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Zenit is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Bozhin S.
(Muscle Injury)
Galdames T.
(Inactive)
Kokarev N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Zenit: Cassierra M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Zenit: Santos D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:43. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:20. (average 0.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Zenit?
Krylya Sovetov has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Krylya Sovetov?
Zenit has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Zenit were as follows:
01.12.2024
Zenit
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:3
20.07.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Zenit
0:4
30.03.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Zenit
1:1
31.10.2023
Zenit
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:0
22.10.2023
Zenit
-
Krylya Sovetov
3:1
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
