Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 68', 🟥,
- 79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Comércio e Indústria
26.4% | Draw
28.4% | Serpa
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Comércio e Indústria - Serpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(3) |
3.17 ↓
(3.25) |
1.99 ↓
(2.1) |
10.9%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Serpa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Comércio e Indústria won against Serpa?
Comércio e Indústria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Comércio e Indústria?
Serpa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comércio e Indústria - Serpa were as follows:
24.08.2025
Serpa
-
Comércio e Indústria
3:0
09.03.2025
Serpa
-
Comércio e Indústria
1:1
10.11.2024
Comércio e Indústria
-
Serpa
0:1
Latest results of Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano ✔ | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 35:13 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 44 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 44 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 43 |
| 5 | Lagoa | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | GD Alcochetense | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 38 |
| 7 | Sintrense | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Serpa | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 33 |
| 10 | Moncarapachense | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Oriental ✔ | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Portimonense B ✔ | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 18:40 | -22 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria ✔ | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 20:40 | -20 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 25 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 19:52 | -33 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Oriental is Relegated to
Portimonense B is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
