Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 22
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.17
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
89% (290/327)66% (82/125)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.630.04
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
227
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
62
Passes
89% (290/327)66% (82/125)
Long passes
52% (14/27)33% (11/33)
Passes in final third
74% (64/87)52% (16/31)
Crosses
22% (4/18)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.36
Throw-ins
118
Fouls
26
Tackles
63% (5/8)75% (6/8)
Duels won
3021
Clearances
1421
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.041.63
Goals prevented
0.040.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Sheehan J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
67.9%
Draw
21.2%
Rotherham United
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 20.2% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 19.2% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.4)
    4.4
    (4.63)
    8.44
    (7.17)
    7.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 79.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Bolton (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1.
    • In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rotherham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Bolton is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) McAtee J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Taylor R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Agbaire L. (Inactive) Benson J. (Injury) James R. (Injury) McWilliams S. (Inactive) Sherif M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United were as follows:
    02.09.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 1:0
    08.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 0:1
    11.01.2025 Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers 3:1
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two